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— CH. 1 · STOCKHOLM TO MUNICH —

Carl Benedikt Frey

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  • Carl Benedikt Frey was born in Stockholm, Sweden. He attended Katedralskolan before studying economics, history and management at Lund University. His academic journey took him to the Max Planck Institute for Innovation and Competition in Munich. There he completed his PhD while developing a strong interest in economic history and technological change. This path led him from Swedish schools to German research institutes. He later joined the Oxford Martin School where he founded the programme on the Future of Work with support from Citigroup. Between 2012 and 2014 he taught at the Department of Economic History at Lund University.

  • In 2013 Frey co-authored The Future of Employment: How Susceptible Are Jobs to Computerization with Michael Osborne. Their study estimated that 47% of jobs were at risk of automation. Over 17,000 citations now appear under this work according to Google Scholar. President Barack Obama's Council of Economic Advisors used their methodology. The Bank of England and the World Bank also adopted their approach. A popular risk-prediction tool by the BBC relied on these figures. In May 2025 Frey held over 22,500 citations total across all his research. The study sparked debates on HBO's Last Week Tonight with John Oliver in 2019. Yuval Noah Harari and Kai-Fu Lee cited it to argue for a jobless future. Richard David Precht and Martin Ford made similar claims about societal preparation needs.

  • Frey published The Technology Trap: Capital, Labor, and Power in the Age of Automation in 2019. He compared the British Industrial Revolution to the Computer Revolution. Many who lived through these upheavals were not among its main beneficiaries. The Luddites smashed machines in the nineteenth century because modern industry reduced their utility. Governments in Britain sided with inventors and industrialists first. They vigorously repressed any worker resistance to mechanisation. The army sent out against the Luddites was larger than Wellington's force at the Peninsula War of 1808. Worker resistance succeeded in continental Europe and China instead. This success helped explain why economic growth there was slow to take off. An opinion poll by the Pew Research Centre survey in 2017 found that 85 per cent of US respondents favoured policies to restrict the rise of robots.

  • In 2023 Frey published a co-authored essay in The Economist arguing that Generative AI benefits lower-skilled workers. He revisited his 2013 estimates in an article titled Generative AI and the Future of Work: A Reappraisal. This work appeared in 2024 alongside Michael Osborne. Their new analysis suggests the latest wave of technology helps rather than harms less skilled employees. In an interview with Martin Wolf Frey clarified that automation does not mean the end of work. The Economist referred to him as an accidental doom-monger in a retrospective from 2019. That publication pointed out he is much more optimistic than media portrayals suggested. His updated research challenges the narrative of inevitable job loss for large groups of people.

  • The economics bibliographic database IDEAS/RePEc ranks him among the top 0.5% of economists under several criteria. As of May 2025 his research was cited more than 22,500 times according to Google Scholar. He holds the Dieter Schwarz Associate Professorship of Artificial Intelligence and Work at the Oxford Internet Institute. He became a Fellow of Mansfield College, Oxford in May 2023. He serves as Director of the Future of Work Programme and Oxford Martin Citi Fellow at the Oxford Martin School. His book How Progress Ends: Technology, Innovation, and the Fate of Nations won shortlist status for the Financial Times Business Book of the Year Award in 2025. Princeton University Press published this latest volume earlier that year.

  • Frey's academic work has been featured in over 100 news outlets including The Economist and The New York Times. Time Magazine and The New Yorker also covered his findings. Le Monde and Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung reported on his research. He actively contributes to public discourse through opinion pieces. He is a regular op-ed contributor to major newspapers and magazines such as the Financial Times. The Wall Street Journal and Foreign Affairs have published his views. Scientific American included his perspectives in their pages. Economic historians praised his work with Niall Ferguson calling it vital importance to voters and policy-makers alike. Jane Humphries and Benjamin Schneider wrote about it in Project Syndicate as a historical odyssey. Joel Mokyr of Northwestern University reviewed it in The Journal of Economic History as an erudite and important book.

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Common questions

Where was Carl Benedikt Frey born and which university did he attend?

Carl Benedikt Frey was born in Stockholm, Sweden. He attended Katedralskolan before studying economics, history and management at Lund University.

What percentage of jobs were estimated to be at risk of automation by Carl Benedikt Frey and Michael Osborne?

The study co-authored by Carl Benedikt Frey and Michael Osborne estimated that 47% of jobs were at risk of automation. Their methodology was adopted by the Bank of England and the World Bank while over 17,000 citations appeared under this work according to Google Scholar as of May 2025.

When did Carl Benedikt Frey publish The Technology Trap and what historical period does it compare to the Computer Revolution?

Carl Benedikt Frey published The Technology Trap: Capital, Labor, and Power in the Age of Automation in 2019. He compared the British Industrial Revolution to the Computer Revolution within this book.

How has Carl Benedikt Frey updated his views on Generative AI since publishing his 2013 estimates with Michael Osborne?

In 2024 Carl Benedikt Frey and Michael Osborne published a reappraisal suggesting the latest wave of technology helps rather than harms less skilled employees. This analysis challenges the narrative of inevitable job loss for large groups of people.

What academic positions does Carl Benedikt Frey hold at Oxford University as of May 2025?

As of May 2025 Carl Benedikt Frey holds the Dieter Schwarz Associate Professorship of Artificial Intelligence and Work at the Oxford Internet Institute. He serves as Director of the Future of Work Programme and is an Oxford Martin Citi Fellow at the Oxford Martin School.

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34 references cited across the entry

  1. 2journalThe future of employment: How susceptible are jobs to computerisation?Carl Benedikt Frey et al. — 2017-01-01
  2. 10newsOpinion Don't Fear the Bubble BurstingCarl Benedikt Frey — 2025-12-05
  3. 12newsHow America Outcompeted JapanCarl Benedikt Frey — 2025-10-01
  4. 13webAbout
  5. 14webDr Carl Benedikt Frey People Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin SchoolInstitute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School
  6. 17journalThe future of employment: How susceptible are jobs to computerisation?Carl Benedikt Frey et al. — 2017-01-01
  7. 20newsWill a robot take your job?BBC — 2015-09-11
  8. 27journalRemote collaboration fuses fewer breakthrough ideasYiling Lin et al. — November 2023
  9. 28journalDeath of distance? Remote collaboration and scientific breakthroughsCarl Benedikt Frey et al. — 2026-03-09
  10. 30journalDrivers of disruption? Estimating the Uber effectThor Berger et al. — 2018-11-01
  11. 31journalUber happy? Work and well-being in the 'Gig Economy'Thor Berger et al. — 2019-07-01
  12. 33journalPolitical machinery: did robots swing the 2016 US presidential election?Carl Benedikt Frey et al. — 2018-07-02
  13. 34bookThe Technology TrapCarl Benedikt Frey — 2019-06-18