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— CH. 1 · ORIGINS AND EARLY ARGUMENTS —

Space and survival

~3 min read · Ch. 1 of 7
7 sections
  • Louis J. Halle, Jr. published an article in Foreign Affairs magazine during 1980 that first explicitly linked space colonization to human safety against global nuclear warfare. The text stated that humanity must colonize space to remain safe if a worldwide nuclear conflict were to occur. This early argument appeared decades before reusable launch vehicles made affordable travel feasible or before the concept gained modern attention. The idea suggested that building a spacefaring civilization would serve as a necessary insurance policy for the species.

  • Toby Ord wrote about these dangers in his book titled The Precipice and identified anthropogenic risks as primary drivers for expanding into space. He argued that unaligned artificial general intelligence poses a threat alongside pandemics created through bioterrorism efforts. Catastrophic climate change and global nuclear warfare also appear on this list of likely existential threats according to Ord's analysis. These human-made dangers are viewed as more probable than natural events like supervolcano eruptions or meteor impacts.

  • The Sun will eventually expand into a red giant state approximately five billion years from now. Earth will become uninhabitable by the time this stellar evolution occurs unless humans leave the Solar System long before then. Scientists note that no other place in the known universe currently harbors life outside our home planet. Future generations must ensure their survival by moving away from Earth well before the solar expansion reaches its peak intensity.

  • Humans have maintained a continuous presence in orbit since the year 2000 via the International Space Station. Life-support systems designed for space living could potentially allow people to survive hazardous events on Earth. Expanding the number of locations where humanity lives increases the mean distance between populations and any specific disaster zone. If a massive impact event struck Earth without warning, colonies elsewhere would offer greater opportunities for species recovery.

  • Researchers at the University of Rochester Medical Center studied how radiation exposure affects cognitive function during interstellar travel. They found that radiation levels equivalent to a mission to Mars can cause serious brain damage including cognition problems. This same level of exposure may also lead to Alzheimer's disease in astronauts exposed over long durations. The Earth's magnetic field and atmosphere normally protect all living forms but cannot shield travelers in outer space.

  • The Spaceguard program represents collective efforts to discover and study Near-Earth objects like asteroids and comets. These large meteoroids pose collision risks if they come close enough to Earth or strike our planet directly. Current detection initiatives remain insufficiently funded despite their critical importance for planetary defense. Early discovery allows scientists to act against potential hazards before they become immediate threats to civilization.

  • Contemporary arguments suggest that using space as a survival solution merely relocates collective societal shortcomings rather than solving them. Critics describe this reasoning as imperialist because it moves existing problems into new environments instead of fixing root causes. Some observers believe that expanding human presence does not address the fundamental issues threatening life on Earth today. The debate continues regarding whether colonization offers genuine safety or simply delays inevitable consequences.

Common questions

When did Louis J. Halle, Jr. publish the article linking space colonization to human safety?

Louis J. Halle, Jr. published an article in Foreign Affairs magazine during 1980 that first explicitly linked space colonization to human safety against global nuclear warfare.

What book by Toby Ord identifies anthropogenic risks as primary drivers for expanding into space?

Toby Ord wrote about these dangers in his book titled The Precipice and identified anthropogenic risks as primary drivers for expanding into space.

How many years from now will the Sun expand into a red giant state making Earth uninhabitable?

The Sun will eventually expand into a red giant state approximately five billion years from now while Earth will become uninhabitable by the time this stellar evolution occurs unless humans leave the Solar System long before then.

Which institution studied how radiation exposure affects cognitive function during interstellar travel?

Researchers at the University of Rochester Medical Center studied how radiation exposure affects cognitive function during interstellar travel and found that radiation levels equivalent to a mission to Mars can cause serious brain damage including cognition problems.

What is the purpose of the Spaceguard program regarding Near-Earth objects like asteroids and comets?

The Spaceguard program represents collective efforts to discover and study Near-Earth objects like asteroids and comets because these large meteoroids pose collision risks if they come close enough to Earth or strike our planet directly.

All sources

12 references cited across the entry

  1. 1journalA Contemporary Analysis of the O'Neill-Glaser Model for Space-based Solar Power and Habitat ConstructionCurreri, Peter A. — December 2011
  2. 2bookOur Final HourRees, Martin — Basic Books — 2003
  3. 3journalA Hopeful Future for MankindLouis J. Halle — 1980-07-01
  4. 4webCapabilities & Servicesspacexcmsadmin — 2012-11-28
  5. 9newsWhat if Covid-19 isn't our biggest threat?Andrew Anthony — 2020-04-26
  6. 10journalAssessing natural global catastrophic risksSeth D. Baum — February 2023