— Ch. 1 · Origins And Early History —
Ricardian equivalence.
~4 min read · Ch. 1 of 6
David Ricardo published his Essay on the Funding System in 1820. He examined whether financing a war with current taxes differed from issuing bonds with infinite maturity and annual interest payments of £1 million. At an assumed interest rate of 5%, he concluded both alternatives held equal value for spending purposes. However, Ricardo himself doubted this proposition had practical consequences. He claimed individuals do not evaluate taxes in such a manner and take a myopic view of the tax path instead. Antonio de Viti de Marco later elaborated on Ricardian equivalence during the 1890s. His work expanded upon Ricardo's initial proposal regarding tax versus debt financing equivalence.
Barro Theoretical Foundation
Robert J. Barro provided theoretical foundation for Ricardo's speculation in 1974. He apparently worked in ignorance of Ricardo's earlier notion and de Viti's subsequent extensions at that time. Barro's model assumed families act as infinitely lived dynasties due to intergenerational altruism. This phrased concept meant any operative intergenerational transfer existed however imperfectly. Capital markets were also perfect within the framework allowing all agents to borrow and lend at a single rate. The path of government expenditures remained fixed under these conditions. If governments finance deficits by issuing bonds, bequests families grant to children offset higher future taxes needed to pay off those bonds. Among his conclusions Barro wrote fiscal effects involving changes in relative amounts of tax and debt finance would have no effect on aggregate demand or interest rates. The model became an important contribution to new classical macroeconomics theory built around rational expectations assumptions.