— Ch. 1 · Defining Climate Proxies —
Proxy (climate).
~6 min read · Ch. 1 of 6
Reliable global records of climate only began in the 1880s. Before that decade, scientists had no direct meteorological measurements to study Earth's history. They needed a way to reconstruct climatic conditions over longer fractions of time. This necessity gave rise to the concept of climate proxies. These are preserved physical characteristics from the past that stand in for missing data. A proxy acts as a substitute variable when direct measurement is impossible. Scientists measure a correlated property and use it to infer the value of interest. For example, they might analyze stable isotopes or growth rates rather than reading a thermometer from 500 years ago. Each proxy indicator has been influenced by a particular seasonal climate parameter at the time it was laid down. Interpretation requires ancillary studies like calibration of sensitivity. Cross-verification among different indicators helps ensure accuracy. The geographic distribution of these records mirrors the instrumental record. More records exist in the northern hemisphere than elsewhere.
Ice Core Analysis Methods
First attempts at extraction occurred in 1956 as part of the International Geophysical Year. The U.S. Army's Cold Regions Research and Engineering Laboratory used an electrodrill in 1968 at Camp Century, Greenland. Their machinery could drill through ice in 40 to 50 minutes. From 1300 meters to deeper levels, core samples were 10 centimeters in diameter and 10 to 20 meters long. Deeper samples of 15 to 20 meters were not uncommon. Every subsequent drilling team improved their method with each new effort. The ratio between the 16O and 18O water molecule isotopologues in an ice core helps determine past temperatures. The heavier isotope 18O condenses more readily as temperatures decrease. It falls more easily as precipitation while the lighter isotope needs colder conditions. Air bubbles trapped in the ice contain greenhouse gases such as carbon dioxide and methane. These bubbles help determine past climate changes. From 1989 to 1992, the European Greenland Ice Core Drilling Project drilled in central Greenland. The ices in that core were 3840 years old at a depth of 770 meters. They were 40,000 years old at 2521 meters and 200,000 years or more at 3029 meters bedrock. Ice cores in Antarctica can reveal climate records for the past 650,000 years.