— Ch. 1 · The Physics Of Intensification —
Effects of climate change on the water cycle.
~4 min read · Ch. 1 of 6
A warmer atmosphere can hold more water vapor. This relationship follows the Clausius-Clapeyron equation. The law states that saturation vapor pressure increases by 7% when temperature rises by 1 degree Celsius. Greenhouse gases trap heat in the lower atmosphere, known as the troposphere. This extra heating promotes evaporation from land and ocean surfaces. Saturation vapor pressure rises along with air temperature. Warmer air contains significantly more moisture than cold air. Measurements from satellites and radiosondes confirm this trend. Tropospheric water vapor has increased by 3.5% over the last 40 years. This rise matches an observed temperature increase of 0.5 degrees Celsius. The human influence on the water cycle is now visible through these physical changes.
Observations Since Eighteen Eighty
Changes to the global water cycle have been observed since at least 1980. Precipitation over land has increased during this period. The rate of increase became faster after the 1980s. Higher latitudes experienced particularly rapid growth in rainfall amounts. Water vapour levels in the troposphere rose consistently from that decade onward. Heavy rain events have become stronger and more frequent. Extreme weather patterns are becoming more common as the Earth warms. The IPCC Sixth Assessment Report predicted these changes would grow significantly. Annual global precipitation over land will likely increase due to higher surface temperatures. Climate models indicate that variability and accompanying extremes will rise faster than average values. Most parts of the world face rising risks under all climate change scenarios.