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Adapted from Earth's energy budget, licensed under CC BY-SA 4.0. Modified for audio. This HearLore entry is also licensed under CC BY-SA 4.0.

— Ch. 1 · Solar And Terrestrial Flows —

Earth's energy budget.

~6 min read · Ch. 1 of 6
The Sun delivers energy to Earth at a rate measured in watts, creating a constant flow that defines our planet's climate. At the top of the atmosphere, this incoming solar radiation averages approximately 340 watts per square meter globally. This number represents one quarter of the solar constant because the Earth is a sphere with four times the surface area of its cross-section. About 77 watts per square meter reflect back into space from clouds and the atmosphere, while another 23 watts per square meter bounce off the surface itself. The remaining 240 watts per square meter absorb into the system as absorbed solar radiation. Energy leaves the planet through outgoing longwave radiation, which consists of infrared thermal emissions from both the surface and the atmosphere. These two flows balance each other when the Earth maintains a relatively stable temperature over time. Some solar energy converts directly to heat that passes unimpeded through the atmospheric window to escape into space. Other heat travels upward via evapotranspiration or conduction before radiating away as longwave radiation. A simple one-layer model predicts surface temperatures near 288 Kelvin and tropospheric temperatures around 242 Kelvin. These values align closely with observed averages despite the complexity of real-world interactions.

Atmospheric Composition Effects

Human-induced changes in atmospheric composition drive the primary shifts in Earth's energy budget today. Greenhouse gases influence the planet's effective emissivity, altering how much heat escapes into space. An increase in these gases forces a decrease in outgoing longwave radiation, creating a warming imbalance. Aerosols and clouds contribute to an effective value for this emissivity that differs from a perfect black body. Volcanic eruptions like Mount Pinatubo in 1991 injected sulfur compounds that persisted for years, yielding negative forcing contributions. High concentrations of stratospheric aerosols can reflect incoming sunlight while absorbing terrestrial heat depending on their type. Water vapor acts as a positive feedback loop because warmer air holds more moisture, enhancing the greenhouse effect further. Clouds cover about half of Earth's albedo and serve as powerful expressions of internal climate variability. They may act as feedbacks to forcings or function as forcings themselves if modified by human activity. The loss of Arctic ice reduces regional reflectivity, leading to greater absorption of energy and faster melt rates. This ice-albedo feedback amplifies global warming trends over time. Climate models calculate these complex interactions to predict future temperature responses accurately.

Oceanic Heat Storage

Over 90 percent of the extra energy accumulated since 1970 has been stored within the ocean. The top few meters of seawater harbor more energy than the entire atmosphere combined. About one-third of this heat propagates to depths below 700 meters. Scientists measure changes in oceanic enthalpy to track these large-scale transfers. Research vessels have sampled sea temperatures at depth around the globe since before 1960. An expanding network of nearly 4000 Argo robotic floats began measuring temperature anomalies after the year 2000. These instruments record ocean heat content change which represents the largest portion of excess energy entering the system. Global surface temperature has increased steadily at a rate of about 0.18 degrees Celsius per decade since 1970. Land and ice-covered regions absorb relatively little excess energy because thermal conduction penetrates only tens of centimeters daily. Much of the heat uptake goes into melting ice or evaporating water from soils instead. The overall growth rate reached close to 500 terawatts as of 2020. This accumulation exceeds total primary human energy consumption by a factor of at least 20. Fluidic ocean waters transport vast amounts of energy across the planet's surface through sensible heat transfer.

Satellite Measurement History

The NASA Earth Radiation Budget Experiment project launched three satellites starting in October 1984. The Earth Radiation Budget Satellite followed by NOAA-9 in December 1984 and NOAA-10 in September 1986 provided early data. NASA's Clouds and the Earth's Radiant Energy System instruments became part of its Earth Observing System in March 2000. CERES measures both solar-reflected short wavelength radiation and Earth-emitted long wavelength radiation. Data from these instruments showed increases in energy imbalance from 2005 to 2019. Other researchers used data from AIRS, CloudSat, TRMM, and CALIPSO to look for trends embedded within the measurements. These tools indicate additional precipitation sustained by increased latent heat flux leaving the surface. Radiometric calibration uncertainties limit the capability of current satellite-based instruments despite their stability. Relative changes in energy imbalance are quantifiable with accuracy not achievable for any single absolute measurement. Observations since 1994 show ice retreating from every part of Earth at an accelerating rate. Changes to mass distribution deduced using GRACE satellite instruments agree with other independent assessments. Mean global sea level has risen as a consequence of ice melt combined with overall ocean temperature rises.

Global Warming Imbalance

The Earth's energy imbalance averaged about 460 terawatts during the period from 2005 to 2019. This value corresponds globally to 0.90 watts per square meter on average. Positive imbalance defines the overall rate of planetary heating and is typically expressed in watts per square meter. The biggest changes arise from human activities that interfere with natural energy flow through the climate system. Increases in carbon dioxide produce heating while pollution creates cooling effects depending on aerosol type. Atmospheric CO2 concentration reached 415 parts per million as of 2020, exceeding all long-lived greenhouse gases' 500 ppm equivalent. Scientists found that stopping global warming would require reducing atmospheric CO2 to 350 parts per million or less. Reliable data extending to at least 1880 shows steady increases in global surface temperature over time. Imbalances failing to reverse drive long-term temperature changes in atmospheric, oceanic, land, and ice components. Temperature, sea level, and ice mass shifts provide measures of this persistent net top-of-atmosphere flux. The ability to observe this imbalance deteriorates as satellites are decommissioned without immediate replacement.

Climate System Feedbacks

Feedback loops involving ice albedo, water vapor, and cloud formation amplify global warming trends collectively. Water vapor trends act as a positive feedback regarding temperature changes due to evaporation shifts. The Clausius-Clapeyron relation explains how warmer air holds more moisture, enhancing the greenhouse effect further. A slower positive feedback is the loss of Arctic ice which makes regions less reflective. This leads to greater absorption of energy and even faster ice melt rates. Clouds contribute variable amounts to radiative forcing depending on regional differences and specific cloud types. Measurements from satellites gather alongside simulations from models to improve understanding and reduce uncertainty. Climate forcings produce direct and indirect feedbacks that intensify or weaken original forcing mechanisms. These often follow the temperature response pattern observed in recent decades. The Planck response remains negative-valued when temperature rises due to its strong influence on outgoing radiation. Collectively, feedbacks excluding the Planck response tend to amplify global warming or cooling effects significantly. Scientists monitor these metrics to help policymakers guide mitigation and adaptation measures effectively.

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Atmospheric sciencesClimate forcingClimate variability and changeClimatologyEarthEarth sciencesEnergyEnvironmental scienceOceanography

Common questions

What is the average incoming solar radiation at the top of Earth's atmosphere?

Incoming solar radiation averages approximately 340 watts per square meter globally. This value represents one quarter of the solar constant because Earth is a sphere with four times the surface area of its cross-section.

How much extra energy has accumulated in Earth's oceans since 1970?

Over 90 percent of the extra energy accumulated since 1970 has been stored within the ocean. The overall growth rate reached close to 500 terawatts as of 2020, which exceeds total primary human energy consumption by a factor of at least 20.

When did NASA launch the first satellites for the Earth Radiation Budget Experiment project?

The NASA Earth Radiation Budget Experiment project launched three satellites starting in October 1984. The Earth Radiation Budget Satellite followed by NOAA-9 in December 1984 and NOAA-10 in September 1986 provided early data.

Why does water vapor act as a positive feedback loop in Earth's climate system?

Water vapor acts as a positive feedback loop because warmer air holds more moisture, enhancing the greenhouse effect further. The Clausius-Clapeyron relation explains how this evaporation shift increases atmospheric heat retention.

What was the average Earth energy imbalance between 2005 and 2019?

The Earth's energy imbalance averaged about 460 terawatts during the period from 2005 to 2019. This value corresponds globally to 0.90 watts per square meter on average.

See all questions about Earth's energy budget →

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