Roman soldiers returned from the siege of Seleucia in the winter of 165 to 166. They carried a disease back to their homeland after violating a temple during the Parthian campaign of Lucius Verus. The first documented case appeared in Smyrna, Roman Anatolia, in 165. There the orator Aelius Aristides nearly died from the illness. From that eastern point, the plague spread westward. It reached Rome by 166 and touched nearly every corner of the empire by 172. Ancient sources attribute the cause to this specific military movement. Soldiers acted as vectors moving infection across vast distances. Connectivity between land and sea made transfer easier than in smaller societies. Nine recorded epidemics had struck the empire before 148 AD. This outbreak was different because it arrived with returning troops.
Epidemiological Diagnosis
Greek physician Galen traveled from Rome to Asia Minor in 166. He returned to Rome in 168 when summoned by co-emperors Marcus Aurelius and Lucius Verus. Galen observed the epidemic among troops at Aquileia in the winter of 168 or 169. He described fever, diarrhea, pharyngitis, and skin eruptions appearing on the ninth day. These eruptions were sometimes dry and sometimes pustular. Scholars generally diagnosed the disease as smallpox based on these red and black skin lesions. Recent genetic evidence suggests severe smallpox did not arise in Europe until much later. Measles has also been proposed as a possible cause. J. F. Gilliam concluded in 1961 that there is insufficient evidence to identify the pathogen definitively. No genetic material exists from the Antonine plague itself. Molecular estimates place the evolution of measles sometime after 1000 AD. The description provided by Galen remains inconsistent with modern definitions of smallpox.